Development of a Backward Prediction Model Based on Limited Historical Datasets

File Size Format
49704_1.pdf 174Kb Adobe PDF View
Title Development of a Backward Prediction Model Based on Limited Historical Datasets
Author Lee, Jae-Ho; Le, Khoa Nguyen; Blumenstein, Michael Myer; Loo, Yew-Chaye
Publication Title Proceedings of the Fourth International Conference on Construction in the 21st Century : Accelerating Innovation in Engineering, Management and Technology
Editor Syed M.Ahmed, Salman Azhar and Sherif Mohamed
Year Published 2007
Place of publication USA
Abstract In almost the last two decades, commercial Bridge Management System (BMS) packages have been remarkably developed. However, inconsistency between BMS inputs and bridge agencies' existing data is an obstacle to implement and to operate a BMS software application. A large number of bridge datasets for a BMS database is an essential requirement to analyze a bridge network. Among many requirements, historical structural datasets are vital to compute the prioritization of bridge stock for maintenance and repair activities and are mostly unavailable for bridges of more than 20 years in age. This study focuses on the abovementioned difficulty to overcome the lacking historical data problem faced by bridge agencies to effectively use BMS applications. This paper proposes an artificial neural network (ANN) technique to predict missing components of time-series datasets to estimate historical bridge element condition ratings. Although this study only estimates historical condition ratings, the proposed concept can be used to compute other historical dataset requirements in the BMS database and hence improving the reliability of various BMS analysis modules.
Peer Reviewed Yes
Published Yes
Publisher URI http://www.fiu.edu/~citc/citc4/index.htm
Copyright Statement Copyright 2007 CITC-IV, USA. Use hypertext link for access to conference website. The attached file is reproduced here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher.
ISBN 1884342021
Conference name Fourth International Conference on Construction in the 21st Century (CITC-IV)
Location Gold Coast, Australia
Date From 2007-07-11
Date To 2007-07-13
URI http://hdl.handle.net/10072/17627
Date Accessioned 2008-03-07
Date Available 2009-09-18T07:43:16Z
Language en_AU
Research Centre Centre for Infrastructure Engineering and Management; Institute for Integrated and Intelligent Systems
Faculty Faculty of Science, Environment, Engineering and Technology
Subject PRE2009-Construction Engineering
Publication Type Conference Publications (Full Written Paper - Refereed)
Publication Type Code e1

Brief Record

Griffith University copyright notice