Space time dynamics of insurgent activity in Iraq

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Title Space time dynamics of insurgent activity in Iraq
Author Townsley, Michael Kenneth; Johnson, Shane D.; Ratcliffe, Jerry H.
Journal Name Security Journal
Year Published 2008
Place of publication United Kingdom
Publisher Palgrave Macmillan Ltd
Abstract This paper describes analyses to determine whether there is a space-time dependency for insurgent activity. The data used for the research were 3 months of terrorist incidents attributed to the insurgency in Iraq during U.S. occupation and the methods used are based on a body of work well established using police recorded crime data. It was found that events clustered in space and time more than would be expected if the events were unrelated, suggesting communication of risk in space and time and potentially informing next event prediction. The analysis represents a first but important step and suggestions for further analysis addressing prevention or suppression of future incidents are briefly discussed.
Peer Reviewed Yes
Published Yes
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Copyright Statement Copyright 2008 Palgrave Macmillan. This is a post-peer-review, pre-copyedit version of an article published in Security Journal. The definitive publisher-authenticated version Security Security Journal. 21(3), pp.139-146. United Kingdom: Palgrave Macmillan Ltd] is available online at:
Volume 21
Issue Number 3
Page from 139
Page to 146
ISSN 0955-1662
Date Accessioned 2008-06-23
Language en_AU
Research Centre ARC Centre of Excellence in Policing and Security
Faculty Faculty of Arts
Subject PRE2009-Criminology
Publication Type Journal Articles (Refereed Article)
Publication Type Code c1

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