An ANN-Based Backward Prediction Model for Reliable Bridge Management System Implementations Using Limited Inspection Records – Case Studies.

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Title An ANN-Based Backward Prediction Model for Reliable Bridge Management System Implementations Using Limited Inspection Records – Case Studies.
Author Lee, Jaeho; Guan, Hong; Blumenstein, Michael Myer; Loo, Yew-Chaye
Publication Title Creating and Renewing Urban Structures
Editor IABSE
Year Published 2008
Abstract Computer-aided Bridge Management Systems (BMSs) as Decision Support Systems (DSSs) for an effective bridge asset management are used to establish the feasible bridge maintenance, repair and rehabilitation (MR&R) strategies which ensure an adequate level of safety at the lowest possible bridge life-cycle cost. To achieve this goal, keeping up-to-date bridge condition ratings are crucial for a BMS software package. Although most bridge agencies in the past have conducted inspections and maintenance, the form of such bridge inspection records is dissimilar to those required by BMSs. These data inconsistencies inevitably slow down the BMS implementations. This paper presents an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based prediction model, called the Backward Prediction Model (BPM), for generating unavailable years of historical bridge condition ratings using very limited existing inspection records. The BPM employed historical non-bridge datasets such as traffic volumes, populations and climates, to establish correlations with the existing bridge condition ratings from the very limited bridge inspection records. Such correlations can help fill the condition rating gaps required for an effective and accurate BMS implementation. This paper covers a brief description of the BPM methodology and presents nine case studies. The outcome of this study can help establish a comprehensive condition rating database, which will in turn assist to predict reliable future bridge depreciations.
Peer Reviewed No
Published Yes
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Copyright Statement Copyright 2008 IABSE. The attached file is posted here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher, for your personal use only. No further distribution permitted. Use hypertext link for access to publisher's website. This article was first published in the 17th Congress Report of IABSE - Chicago 2008 on Creating and Renewing Urban Structures - Tall Buildings, Bridges and Infrastructure (
ISBN 978-3-85748-118-5
Conference name 17th Congress of IABSE
Location Chicago, USA
Date From 2008-09-17
Date To 2008-09-19
Date Accessioned 2009-03-10
Date Available 2015-06-02T05:40:33Z
Language en_US
Research Centre Institute for Integrated and Intelligent Systems
Faculty Faculty of Science, Environment, Engineering and Technology
Subject Infrastructure Engineering and Asset Management
Publication Type Conference Publications (Full Written Paper - Non-Refereed)
Publication Type Code e2

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