The Missing Link of Crime Analysis: A Systematic Approach to Testing Competing Hypotheses

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Title The Missing Link of Crime Analysis: A Systematic Approach to Testing Competing Hypotheses
Author Townsley, Michael Kenneth; Mann, Monique; Garrett, Kristian
Journal Name Policing: a journal of policy and practice
Year Published 2011
Place of publication United Kingdom
Publisher Oxford University Press
Abstract Crime analysts have traditionally received little guidance from academic researchers in key tasks in the analysis process, specifically the testing of multiple hypotheses and evaluating evidence in a scientific fashion. This article attempts to fill this gap by outlining a method (the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses) of systematically analysing multiple explanations for crime problems. The method is systematic, avoids many cognitive errors common in analysis, and is explicit. It is argued that the implementation of this approach makes analytic products audit-able, the reasoning underpinning them transparent, and provides intelligence managers a rational professional development tool for individual analysts.
Peer Reviewed Yes
Published Yes
Alternative URI http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/police/par023
Copyright Statement Copyright 2012 Oxford University Press. This is a pre-copy-editing, author-produced PDF of an article accepted for publication in Policing following peer review. The definitive publisher-authenticated version The Missing Link of Crime Analysis: A Systematic Approach to Testing Competing Hypotheses, Policing, Volume 5, Issue 2, Pp. 158-171 is available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/police/par023
Volume 5
Issue Number 2
Page from 158
Page to 171
ISSN 1752-4512
Date Accessioned 2012-02-10
Date Available 2013-06-26T03:15:34Z
Language en_US
Research Centre ARC Centre of Excellence in Policing and Security
Faculty Arts, Education and Law
Subject Police Administration, Procedures and Practice
URI http://hdl.handle.net/10072/44148
Publication Type Journal Articles (Refereed Article)
Publication Type Code c1

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