Shifts in exchange rate regimes and inflation persistence in Vietnam, 1992-2010
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Author(s)
Phuc, Nguyen Tran
Nguyen, Tom
Su, Jen-Je
Singh, Tarlok
Year published
2014
Metadata
Show full item recordAbstract
A number of studies have found that more flexible exchange rate regimes tend to be associated with greater inflation persistence. This paper investigates whether this finding is applicable to Vietnam from 1992 to 2010. We find no evidence to suggest that inflation persistence in Vietnam was systematically higher under a "soft" peg exchange rate regime than under a "hard" peg. Rolling regressions suggest that inflation persistence peaked during 2004 to 2007, when Vietnam was governed by what may be characterised as a hard-peg regime.A number of studies have found that more flexible exchange rate regimes tend to be associated with greater inflation persistence. This paper investigates whether this finding is applicable to Vietnam from 1992 to 2010. We find no evidence to suggest that inflation persistence in Vietnam was systematically higher under a "soft" peg exchange rate regime than under a "hard" peg. Rolling regressions suggest that inflation persistence peaked during 2004 to 2007, when Vietnam was governed by what may be characterised as a hard-peg regime.
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Journal Title
Journal of Southeast Asian Economies
Volume
31
Issue
2
Copyright Statement
© 2014 Institute of Southeast Asian Studies. The attached file is reproduced here in accordance with the copyright policy of the publisher. Please refer to the journal's website for access to the definitive, published version.
Subject
Financial economics
Macroeconomics (incl. monetary and fiscal theory)
Applied economics
Economic theory
Other economics